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The Baltic blue growth – a country-level shift-share analysis

Version 1.0

Mogila, Zbigniew; Ciolek, Dorota; Kwiatkowski, Jakub M.; Zaucha, Jacek, 2023, "The Baltic blue growth – a country-level shift-share analysis", https://doi.org/10.18150/QPDIVD, RepOD, V1

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Description

### results_direct(marine) and indirect(else)_mPLN.csv

- The text presents direct, indirect and induced impact of the marine sector on the wider economy in terms of global output. The attached tables present these categories.

- The file “results_direct(marine) and indirect(else)_mPLN.csv” presents direct effects in columns B-Q (marine sectors) and indirect effects in the remaining columns (other sectors, i.e. standard sectors net of the marine economy). Individual rows break down the effects into 16 voivodships.

- The file “results_induced.csv” presents induced effects for non-marine sectors, in an analogous layout.

- The analogous files with “Gx and Zx” in the filenames present the results in which only the part of the marine sector prevalent in two voivodships: Pomorskie and Zachodniopomorskie is taken into account as an impulse (direct effect). The indirect and induced effects are presented in the same fashion as before, but correspond to a different impulse.


### Shift-share_outputs.xlsx

The XLS file "Shift-share_outputs" presents the shift-share decomposition of the blue growth in the BSR countries (Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Germany, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Sweden) for the period 2009-2018 and two subperiods, i.e. 2009-2013 and 2013-2018.


### INPUT-OUTPUT matrix for the maritime sectors in Polish economy in 2015

The INPUT-OUTPUT matrix for the maritime sectors is presented as a section (a fragment) of the full

matrix for the entire national economy estimated by the Polish Central Statistical Office ("Input -

output table at basic prices in 2015": https://stat.gov.pl/en/topics/national-accounts /annual-

national-accounts/input-output-table-at-basic-prices-in-2015,5,3.html.).

The presented values were determined for 2015 and are expressed in thousands of PLN at base

prices (current prices).

The 16 maritime sectors were separated from 77 economic sectors included in the INPUT-OUTPUT

matrix for the entire economy.

The INPUTS sheet contains data on the maritime sectors' use of products produced in other sectors.

The OUTPUTS sheet contains data on the production of maritime sectors consumed by other sectors.


### Marine_Spatial_Rent_Offshore_Wind_Farms.xlsx

Spatial rent as a tool for effective management of marine space planning for offshore wind energy development on the example of Polish offshore wind farms

Funding: by the Polish National Science Centre, grant: 2018/31/B/HS4/03890, "Multiplier effects of maritime space".

(2023)
Subject
Social Sciences; Other
Keyword

Blue growth, The Baltic Sea Region, Shift-share analysis

Related Publication

Zbigniew Mogila, Dorota Ciolek, Jakub M. Kwiatkowski, Jacek Zaucha,
The Baltic blue growth – A country-level shift-share analysis,
Marine Policy,
Volume 134,
2021,
104799,
ISSN 0308-597X,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2021.104799.
(https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0308597X21004103)
Abstract: The main aim of this paper is to look into the factors determining blue growth in the Baltic Sea Region (BSR) in the long run. To this end, we investigate what part of blue growth is exclusively attributed to external determinants, and, more importantly, what portion relates solely to country-specific competitive advantages. We use a standard shift-share analysis over the period 2009–2018, and, subsequently, extend it by applying the Esteban-Marquillas variation. Our research study provides several insights of relevance for blue growth in the BSR. Firstly, the relatively strong impact of global factors on the BSR maritime economies is revealed. It brings uncertainty to the long-term prospects of blue development in the region. Secondly, it is shown that the EU and national polices seem not to have an impact on the specialization patterns in the BSR. The reasons for this policy failure require, however, further investigation. Thirdly, a series of country-specific branches is identified. Even though some of them are of a traditional character, they might be supplementary to more innovative branches in the process of smart specializations selection. It, however, requires a place-based approach, that is greater regionalization of sectoral targets set out in the maritime development programmes.
Keywords: Blue economy; Blue growth; The Baltic Sea Region; Shift-share analysis https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2021.104799 doi: /10.1016/j.marpol.2021.104799

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